Does it Get Better?

http://deadwildroses.wordpress.com/2011/09/14/happiness-equality-and-security-the-true-measures-of-a-society-not-gdp/

Today’s guest post comes to us from Brad Jones.

Heather’s post the other day on the allocation of time between men and women is a stark portrayal of one form of gender inequality in the Church. Without question, women speak less frequently then men in General Conference. Given the status quo (an all-male priesthood), it is difficult for me to imagine a world where women and men have equal time at the general conference pulpit, but it is at least possible that the gender inequality isn’t as bad as it first appears.

One of the reasons for worrying about the gender imbalance in the speakers in conference is because we are worried that men cannot adequately address the concerns of women. (Greatly simplifying a complex issue) in democratic theory, scholars who think about representation distinguish between descriptive representation (does the person who represents me in politics look like me in terms of gender, race, sexual orientation, religion, or some other demographic characteristic that is important to me) and substantive representation (does the person who represents me in politics look after my interests regardless of the congruence between our identities). One of the big questions for political scientists and others is determining what consequences descriptive representation (or a lack of it) has on substantive representation. [1]

For a lot of reasons, the analogy between representative political institutions and religious institutions is strained, but I think it is worth at least considering the idea that even pre-dominantly male speakers could represent the substantive interests of women (and other groups) in their General Conference addresses while they provide an exceedingly poor reflection of their audience. Surely a necessary (but not sufficient) condition for this kind of substantive representation is references to the stories and experiences of women in their talks.

The data

I downloaded all of the General Conference addresses available from www.lds.org (extending back to 1971). For more on the data, you can see this post. [2]

As a (very) rough measure of the references to men and women in their talks, I searched the text of each talk for words associated with men and women (“he”, “she”, “man”, “woman”, “boy”, “girl”, etc.). I then summed up all references to women and divided them by the sum of all references to women. We would expect to see this figure hovering around one if there were perfect equality in the references between men and women. A zero would mean no references to women, and a number greater than one would mean more references to women than men.

The plot below shows the ratio of female-to-male references over the last four decades of General Conferences.

male female scatterplot

The plot above shows the results by conference. The x-axis plots the date of the conference, and the y-axis shows the ratio of references to women and men. In the early 1970s there were more than 10 references to men for every reference to a woman. In recent years this ratio has become much more equal. The latest conference is the most equal conference for those that I have data, but there are still two references to men for every reference to a woman.

What I’ve presented so far is a very crude measure indeed. It tells us nothing about how general conference speakers talk about men and women, but it does seem to suggest that they are talking about women relatively more frequently in recent years.

One (still crude) way to get at the sticky question of “how?” is to examine which gendered words are most often used. The table below reports the overall counts and ratios for the root forms of the gendered words I used in my search. For example, the first row shows the word “himself” compared to usage of the word “herself.” This word shows the most inequity with a male to female ratio of nearly nine. For every one use of “herself,” “himself” is used 8.7 times.

gendered language frequency table

Interestingly the only female words that are used more frequently than their corresponding male words are “wife” and “bride.”

Finally, we can look at the ratio of female to male words for individual speakers. For each speaker who has given at least 10 talks in general conference, I calculated a ratio of the number of female to male words. The table shows the scores (values closer to 1 are roughly equal, less than 1 means relatively more male words, greater than 1 means relatively more female words).

male to female words by speaker

The gap between male and female speakers is quite striking.

This is Heather speaking now, although I certainly did not collect or organize all this data:

So, Doves and Serpents readers, what do you make of all this data?   Do the data suggest positive trends towards more inclusion of more female-centric content or more efforts to include the experiences of women in General Conference content?   What do the data say about substantive versus descriptive representation?   Which is more important in a religious institution:   substantive or descriptive representation?   In my opinion, Mormon women are lacking in both types.

To what might we attribute these trends?  

Not surprisingly, I have some ideas about all of the above, but I’ll let you sift through the data and offer up your suggestions.  



[1] If you are interested in this sort of thing, David Canon’s Race, Redistricting, and Representation makes a compelling argument that descriptive representation leads to substantive representation by looking at “majority-minority” districts in the United States.


[2] One point does bear some discussion here. In recent years, the Conference issue of the Ensign has printed the report of the General Young Women’s meeting in the May issue and the General Relief Society meeting in the November issue. This has not always been the case. I’m moving forward with this analysis under the assumption that what is printed in the conference edition of the Ensign is a reflection of what the Church would like to publicize about General Conference. A part of the trend we will see relates to the inclusion of these sessions directed at women. Unfortunately, it isn’t straightforward to tag the texts with the session of Conference it was delivered in. Ideally, we could control in some measure for the intended audience of the speaker.